Risk Overview · 1:37
Three Types of AI Risk
Short-term risk is physical security, mid-term risk is jobs and income, long-term risk is beliefs and identity.
- Short-term AI risk is mostly related to your physical security.
- Mid-term AI risk is mostly related to jobs and income.
- Long-term AI risk is mostly related to beliefs and identities.
| Timeframe | Main Risk | Focus |
|---|---|---|
| Short-term | Physical security | Food, water, cash, first aid, local LLM, MFA |
| Mid-term | Jobs and income | Personal evals, ownership, distribution, physical work |
| Long-term | Beliefs and identity | Identity, priors, relationships |
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What are the three types of AI risk?
Short-term, mid-term, and long-term.
What is short-term risk mostly related to?
Physical security.
00:00 So, how do you survive the next 2 years of AI? Well, I'll tell you how not to, playing stupid status games with your boss while your white-collar job gets automated away. The world is changing quickly, and there are three types of risk. Short-term risk from AI, which is mostly related to your security, mid-term risks with AI, which are mostly related to jobs and income, and long-term risks with AI that are mostly related to beliefs and identities. Let
00:22 me cover all three of them right now. So, the short-term is all about physical security. I hate starting a video off with this. It's not going to be a big doomer pitch or anything, but you should obviously take care of your security. Uh there are mounting cybersecurity risks that are only growing more and more likely with time. I don't know if you guys know this, but OpenAI agents broke out of their sandbox, infiltrated Hugging Face, they infiltrated several world governments now. Rogue agents from China have also been seen floating around the internet. These right now
00:44 have a variety of incentives and goals, um aligned or misaligned. I'm sure you guys could see how maybe a human actor could take the cybersecurity capabilities of these agents and use them to do bad things. For instance, did you know that a lot of the refrigeration equipment currently controlling every single grocery store on Earth is internet accessible, and you can click a button to make it hotter or colder. In fact, in France just a few days ago, uh a team of hackers just did this. They
01:08 took out of commission 350 grocery chains, leading to widespread local havoc. Imagine if that were to occur on essentially a global schedule. Imagine if water sanitation plants uh had their levels all screwed up. Imagine if there were issues where, you know, you couldn't access your banking funds for more than, I don't know, you know, three or four days. The world around you is quite fragile, and I hate to be that kind of guy, but that fragility can
01:30 explode or collapse quite quickly if you don't have access to routine services that you've grown up having access to. So, how do you actually control for this? Quick hit list, uh food and water. Really straightforward, you know, 2,000 calories a day per person times 14 days or so. If you have two people in your household, that's 50 to 60,000 calories. Um you can do all of this right now with non-perishable foods for, I don't know, 100 bucks, 150 bucks. Just shove it in the pantry. Worst case scenario, you
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