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AI agent for investment analysts

Investment Thesis Tracking Agent

Every thesis checked against new facts, with alerts on broken points

Investment Thesis Tracking Agent: what goes in, what the agent does and what you get

What it does

Analysts write a thesis when they buy a stock, then rarely check it against what actually happens. For each holding, the analyst sets key milestones and signs that would prove the thesis wrong. Each week this agent loads those points, gathers new filings, results, guidance and industry data, and marks each milestone as on track, at risk or broken. It then checks its own reading by finding the exact source line for each status. If a source is unclear, it marks the item for the analyst instead of guessing. It writes a status table and alerts the same day when a kill signal is hit. Two milestones at risk trigger a review. The manager decides whether to add, hold or sell. Edge case: a company changes how it reports a key metric, so the agent flags it as not comparable.

How it works

Follow the arrows from top to bottom. The orange dashed arrow is the loop: when a check fails, the agent goes back and tries again.

Start and resultWhat it doesA check on its own workWaits for your OKGoes back and retries
Yes, continueApprovedNo 1 STARTS WHEN Weekly thesis review 2 USES A TOOL Load theses and milestones 3 USES A TOOL Gather new filings, results and news 4 DOES Mark each milestone status 5 CHECKS THE RESULT Is each status backed by a clear source line? If not: mark as unclear for the analyst and search formore sources. Back to step 4. 6 DOES Write status table and alerts 7 YOU APPROVE Manager decides position actions 8 RESULT Thesis tracker updated
Read the steps as a list
  1. Weekly thesis review
  2. Load theses and milestones
  3. Gather new filings, results and news
  4. Mark each milestone status
  5. Is each status backed by a clear source line?If not: mark as unclear for the analyst and search for more sources. Back to step 4.
  6. Write status table and alerts
  7. Manager decides position actionsThe agent waits here for your OK.
  8. Thesis tracker updated

How it decides

It ties each milestone to source evidence and marks it broken only when a source line clearly shows it.

  • Kill signal hit: alert the manager the same day
  • Two milestones at risk: schedule a review
  • Metric definition changed: flag as not comparable

Make it yours

Every agent is a starting point. You choose these settings for your own situation.

  • Review frequency
  • Sources used
  • Alert rules
  • Status table layout

What keeps you in control

It always asks you first

  • Any position change

Hard limits

  • Never trades
  • Never rewrites a thesis

It stops when

  • Done: tracker updated
  • Stop: no thesis on file for a holding, ask analyst

Set it up

We guide you through the set-up, step by step

Members get the full set-up guide for this agent. No technical skills needed: you copy, paste and upload.

10 minto set it up in your AI
5 AIsChatGPT, Claude, Copilot, Gemini, Grok
  • One set of instructions to paste into your AI, with the clicks for ChatGPT, Claude, Microsoft 365 Copilot, Gemini and Grok
  • The agent then walks you through connecting your own data, one source at a time
  • A downloadable copy with the flow chart, the rules and the full guide
Get access to this agent

An example run

What happensA thesis on a software company expected gross margin above 45% by Q3. Results on October 24 showed 43.8%, and guidance was cut. The agent first marked it at risk from a news summary, but the source check failed. It found the transcript line confirming the cut and marked it broken. The manager reviewed the alert and cut the position by half.

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