Chinese banks shift lending toward technology and AI as real estate loans decline

Chinese banks shifted lending away from real estate toward AI, semiconductors and biotech in 2025, with tech loans up 19.8% while property lending fell 1.6%. One Jiangsu bank set a 30% growth target for high-tech loans in 2026.

Published on: Mar 16, 2026
Chinese banks shift lending toward technology and AI as real estate loans decline

Chinese banks redirect lending away from real estate toward technology sectors

Chinese banks are shifting credit toward artificial intelligence, semiconductors and advanced manufacturing as the government prioritizes technology-led growth over the next five years. The move follows policy commitments announced at the National People's Congress and reflects deepening challenges in the property market.

A major state-owned lender told Reuters that technology financing has been prioritized in new loan issuance for 2026. The bank is expanding credit to AI, advanced manufacturing and biotechnology, and is studying lower-interest credit products designed for small and micro-sized tech startups.

A corporate lending manager at a joint-stock bank in Jiangsu province said the lender set a target to increase new loans to high-tech companies by roughly 30 percent in 2026, compared with 20 percent growth the previous year.

The numbers show a clear shift

Outstanding loans to small and medium-sized technology firms reached 3.63 trillion yuan (USD 528 billion) by the end of 2025, up 19.8 percent from the prior year. This exceeded overall loan growth by 13.6 percentage points.

Real estate loans, by contrast, declined 1.6 percent during the same period, falling to 51.95 trillion yuan. The property sector, historically one of the largest recipients of bank credit, is now losing ground.

High-tech and innovation loans still account for roughly 8 percent of total lending. Real estate loans represent around 19 percent of bank credit.

Why banks are making this move

The real estate sector's difficulties have become severe enough to significantly limit new lending activity. At the same time, regulators are actively encouraging banks to expand technology finance through performance targets.

Geopolitical tensions have made global financial institutions more cautious about lending to Chinese technology companies. Domestic funding sources have become increasingly important for startups and emerging tech firms.

Bank loan officers say performance assessments are now linked to progress in financing technology sectors. One Shanghai-based mid-sized bank created a dedicated fast-track approval mechanism for companies involved in advanced technologies.

The risks

Many technology startups remain in early development stages and operate with negative cash flows. These companies have higher failure rates and limited physical collateral, as much of their value is tied to intellectual property.

Ratings agencies have cautioned that rapid expansion of technology lending could bring risks if not carefully managed. Some industries targeted for financing could face overcapacity, potentially affecting repayment ability.

Banks face challenges assessing business viability and estimating recovery prospects in the event of loan defaults, given the nature of tech company assets.

What this means for real estate and construction

For professionals in real estate and construction, this shift signals reduced credit availability for property development and related projects. Banks are actively redirecting capital away from the sector that has historically dominated their lending portfolios.

Understanding how AI for Real Estate & Construction is reshaping the industry may help professionals adapt to changing market conditions. Equally, familiarity with AI for Finance provides insight into how lenders are making allocation decisions.

The reallocation reflects structural pressures: China faces an ageing workforce, demographic challenges and intensifying competition with the United States in key technologies. The government has committed substantial financial support to close these gaps, and banks are being directed to fund that effort.


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