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AI agent for economists

Central Bank and Policy Statement Tracker Agent

Turn each policy statement into a clear read of what changed and what it means for forecasts.

AnalysisMonitoringFinance
See how it worksGet access
Central Bank and Policy Statement Tracker Agent: what goes in, what the agent does and what you get

What it does

A central bank changes a single phrase, such as from further tightening to additional firming, and the market reads a signal that analysts miss. This agent compares each new policy statement with the last several. It extracts wording changes sentence by sentence, groups them into themes such as inflation, growth and the path of rates, and rates each shift as stronger, weaker or unchanged. It then checks the changes against market rate expectations and your current forecasts to see whether anything needs updating. If the wording shift and the market reaction disagree, it looks at the press conference and minutes. It drafts an update for review. The economist approves.

How it works

Follow the arrows from top to bottom. The orange dashed arrow is the loop: when a check fails, the agent goes back and tries again.

Start and resultWhat it doesA check on its own workWaits for your OKGoes back and retries
Yes, continueApprovedNo 1 STARTS WHEN New statement is released 2 USES A TOOL Fetch the statement and the previous three 3 DOES Extract wording changes by sentence 4 DOES Group changes by theme and rate each as stronger,weaker or unchanged 5 USES A TOOL Pull market rate expectations before and afterrelease 6 CHECKS THE RESULT Is the market reaction consistent with the wordingshift? If not: read the press conference and minutes forcontext and rerate. Back to step 3. 7 DOES Compare the signal with the current forecast 8 DOES Draft an update with suggested forecast changes 9 YOU APPROVE Economist approves the update 10 RESULT Statement comparison and forecast note
Read the steps as a list
  1. New statement is released
  2. Fetch the statement and the previous three
  3. Extract wording changes by sentence
  4. Group changes by theme and rate each as stronger, weaker or unchanged
  5. Pull market rate expectations before and after release
  6. Is the market reaction consistent with the wording shift?If not: read the press conference and minutes for context and rerate. Back to step 3.
  7. Compare the signal with the current forecast
  8. Draft an update with suggested forecast changes
  9. Economist approves the updateThe agent waits here for your OK.
  10. Statement comparison and forecast note

How it decides

It rates wording change by theme, then tests whether the change is consistent with market pricing and current forecasts.

  • Report only changes in substance, not style
  • Rate a theme stronger only if the wording or numbers shift in that direction
  • Compare with the last three statements
  • Suggest a forecast change only if rate expectations move more than 10 basis points

Make it yours

Every agent is a starting point. You choose these settings for your own situation.

  • Central banks to follow
  • Number of past statements to compare (default 3)
  • Market data sources
  • Forecast change trigger (default 10 basis points)

What keeps you in control

It always asks you first

  • Economist approves the update before it is shared

Hard limits

  • Never gives trading advice
  • Quotes only short, attributed phrases from the statements

It stops when

  • Done: update approved and delivered
  • Stop: market data is unavailable for the release window

Set it up

We guide you through the set-up, step by step

Members get the full set-up guide for this agent. No technical skills needed: you copy, paste and upload.

10 minto set it up in your AI
5 AIsChatGPT, Claude, Copilot, Gemini, Grok
  • One set of instructions to paste into your AI, with the clicks for ChatGPT, Claude, Microsoft 365 Copilot, Gemini and Grok
  • The agent then walks you through connecting your own data, one source at a time
  • A downloadable copy with the flow chart, the rules and the full guide
Get access to this agent

An example run

What happensThe statement changed further tightening to additional firming and dropped a clause on growth risks. The agent rated inflation stronger and growth unchanged. Market two-year yields rose only 3 basis points, which seemed small, so the consistency check failed. The press conference revealed the chair called the change minor. The agent rerated it as neutral. The economist approved a short note with no forecast change.

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